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Risk Assessment (Unintentional Introductions)

Improved tools and methodologies for identifying hazards, assessing risk, predicting impacts and ascertaining where in the system mitigation measures are best targeted for unintentional introductions.

Theme Scope:

  • Systems approaches for risk assessment: assess risk at any point along the pathway to determine optimal mitigations and equivalence of treatments
  • Risk grouping: group organisms for more efficient risk analysis
  • Future risks: identify emerging risks to prioritise activities
  • Impact prediction: predict potential impacts of unwanted organisms to inform biosecurity interventions


Current Projects

Biosecurity over the horizon: identifying invasive agricultural pests in China

Lead By Colin Ferguson ([email protected]). Duration: Project B19.3 runs from 2019 – 2025 (5 Years)

Xylella fastidiosa (Xf) and its New Zealand vectors

Lead By Jessica Dohmen-Vereijssen ([email protected]). Duration: Project B20.3 runs from 2020 - 2025 (5 Years)

Assessing the risk of rapid ōhi’a death to New Zealand and the South Pacific

Lead By Virginia Marroni ([email protected]). Duration: Project B21.2 runs from 2021 - 2024 (3 Years)

Predicting the spillover of pests and pathogens into natural ecosystems

Lead By Darren Ward ([email protected]) . Duration: Project B22.6 runs from 2022 - 2027 (5 years)

Further development of the Integrated Biosecurity Risk Assessment Model (IBRAM) for pathogens

Lead By Nari Williams ([email protected]). Duration: Project B22.7 runs from 2022 - 2026 (4 years)

Projects completed in 2022 / 2023

Supporting pest risk assessments in natural ecosystems

Lead By Barbara Barratt ([email protected]). Duration: July 2019 – June 2022 (3 yr)

Predicting the risks and impacts of Xylella fastidiosa using sentinel plant network

Lead By Ronny Groenteman ([email protected]). Duration: July 2019 – June 2022 (3 yr)

Global change and NZ biosecurity: risks and economics of future climates and trade patterns

Lead By Nicolas Meurisse ([email protected]). Duration: July 2020 - June 2022

Māori and Pasifika indigenous collaboration to identify pre-border biosecurity threats

Lead By Julia Soewarto ([email protected]). Duration: Project B21.4 runs from (June 2021 - June 2023) 2 years

Pest risk evaluation framework – extended to arable, horticulture and forestry industries

Lead By Craig Phillips ([email protected]). Duration: Project B21.3 runs for 2 years, from June 2021 - June 2023

New risk assessment and detection tools for cereal and grass pathogens on the seed import pathway

Lead By Soonie Chng ([email protected]). Duration: Project B22.5 runs from 2022 - 2023 (1 year)
John Kean Theme B Leader
John Kean
Phone: 07 838 5658